HODLTON

17.09.2021

$BTC call selling for the month-end contract has dominated flows over the past 24hrs

Implying that we should see sub $50k Bitcoin at the end of the month... this likely also sees market makers sell BTC in the futures market to remain hedged against their now long BTC position!

HODLTON

Furthering on this, selling a 'call' is different to buying a 'put'... The call selling is likely the better play at the moment due to the low IV (ranging market)... however is risky as the potential loss is unlimited in the case that the market has an insane rally. So whoever is looking to profit off of this call selling is doing so to capture the 'premium' of the option. Given that the losses can be great in the case that #BTC rips higher, they are implying with great confidence that Bitcoin will not be above $50k come the 24th September

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HODLTON

16.09.2021

$BTC

HODLTON

15.09.2021

If $BTC can make a clean break above $47,400 USD, I think that $50,000 USD comes fairly quickly!

HODLTON

14.09.2021

$BTC remains in a volatility squeeze (orange circles)

In this type of environment, it is dangerous to play the breakout and the high probability play is to buy the bottom of the range ($43k) and sell the top of the range ($47k)!

RichardKing

THIS. Even if someone thinks the PA looks like sh*t & that we're likely going below the range, a long makes sense. If s/he believes that we're IN a range then there's good r:r in playing the range bottom (with SL below)

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ElliottLostmykeys

@RichardKing , Yeah - similar to May(only faster)but i think the high range is no longer in play

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HODLTON

13.09.2021

Slight differences but the theory is very similar to the $30k bottom $BTC

HODLTON

11.09.2021

All exchange reserves are dropping at unprecedented speed and are basically at ALL TIME LOW and you telling me we are going to 20K?

Wake up

100K+ by End of the Year

HODLTON

11.09.2021

Bitcoin and Ethereum growth trajectories
Sep. 11, 2021

Since the 3rd Bitcoin halving:
$BTC is up 5.2x (topped at 29.5x last cycle)
$ETH us up 17.3x (topped at 120x last cycle)

HODLTON

10.09.2021

BTC max pain is $42,000 USD for this month's option expiry

HODLTON

09.09.2021

Bitcoin and Ethereum growth trajectories
Sep. 09, 2021

Since the 3rd Bitcoin halving:
$BTC is up 5.4x (topped at 29.5x last cycle)
$ETH is up 18.8x (topped at 120x last cycle)

HODLTON

08.09.2021

Massive reset in futures funding $BTC

Perhaps this is what was needed to continue the bull-run?

HODLTON

08.09.2021

$BTC

Gamma shifting from $52k to $50k since this time yesterday - a bearish sign

Although, the high gamma strike remains to be higher than current spot price, perhaps indicative that we could gravitate to $50k

Longing a reclaim of $48,000 USD would be the play imo.

The negative gamma <$48k likely sees heightened volatility - be careful until 48k is reclaimed

HODLTON

06.09.2021

Personally, I believe that a move to AT LEAST $54,000 USD is programmed for $BTC

A dip to $50k seems like the last area of opportunity to load up and with defined risk at $49k